CTM Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:37.73% (-1.85%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4352 | 1.40 | |
| 0.1375 | 7.57 | |
| 0.6867 | 13.43 | |
| 0.0638 | 0.25 | |
| -0.0487 | -0.15 | |
| -0.1223 | -0.92 | |
| 0.2088 | 2.12 | |
| -0.1530 | -2.12 | |
| 0.0534 | 0.92 | |
| -0.0399 | -0.80 | |
| 0.0889 | 1.57 | |
| -0.0669 | -1.43 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 1, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 1, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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