CTM Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:41.07% (-1.76%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4357 | 1.94 | |
| 0.1346 | 7.68 | |
| 0.6989 | 14.96 | |
| 0.0553 | 0.65 | |
| -0.1146 | -0.98 | |
| 0.0999 | 1.93 | |
| -0.0746 | -2.52 | |
| 0.0291 | 1.19 | |
| 0.0507 | 1.18 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 1, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 1, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
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