Castro Model Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 15th, 2026:46.18% (+1.10%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0887 | 8.87 | |
| 0.0662 | 5.22 | |
| 0.8500 | 26.91 | |
| -0.0165 | -2.94 | |
| 0.0348 | 4.31 | |
| -0.0262 | -6.30 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 23, 2001 to Feb 12, 2026
Mar 23, 2001 to Feb 12, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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