Castro Model Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 15th, 2026:52.57% (+0.88%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4843 | 7.67 | |
| 0.0655 | 4.97 | |
| 0.8389 | 20.82 | |
| 0.0840 | 2.16 | |
| -0.1482 | -2.29 | |
| 0.1011 | 1.80 | |
| -0.0492 | -0.90 | |
| 0.0631 | 1.28 | |
| -0.1038 | -2.29 | |
| 0.1222 | 1.64 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 23, 2001 to Feb 12, 2026
Mar 23, 2001 to Feb 12, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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