Avation PLC Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:25.98% (-1.74%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5928 | 1.96 | |
| 0.1223 | 4.81 | |
| 0.7108 | 10.06 | |
| 3.4961 | 5.04 | |
| -5.3045 | -5.60 | |
| 2.5518 | 3.67 | |
| -1.2178 | -1.91 | |
| 0.9954 | 1.89 | |
| -0.3734 | -0.81 | |
| -0.6341 | -1.34 | |
| 0.5233 | 0.88 | |
| -0.0005 | -0.00 | |
| 0.0297 | 0.12 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 6, 2010 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 6, 2010 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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