Avation PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:19.43% (-2.09%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7137 | 2.10 | |
| 0.1172 | 4.79 | |
| 0.7169 | 9.80 | |
| 3.6236 | 5.45 | |
| -5.4970 | -6.00 | |
| 2.6601 | 3.88 | |
| -1.2918 | -2.04 | |
| 1.0506 | 2.01 | |
| -0.4294 | -0.94 | |
| -0.5399 | -1.14 | |
| 0.3129 | 0.53 | |
| 0.5047 | 0.92 | |
| -1.3060 | -1.95 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 6, 2010 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 6, 2010 to Feb 13, 2026
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