Ava Risk Group Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:60.48% (+6.12%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5899 | 6.27 | |
| 0.1515 | 4.05 | |
| 0.4066 | 3.86 | |
| 0.3173 | 0.56 | |
| -1.5724 | -1.89 | |
| 2.2925 | 4.09 | |
| -1.8440 | -3.50 | |
| 1.3974 | 3.23 | |
| -1.3823 | -1.97 | |
| 1.9236 | 2.12 | |
| -1.9742 | -2.77 | |
| 1.1367 | 2.46 |
Estimation Period:
May 11, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
May 11, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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