Ava Risk Group Limited Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:79.10% (+1.49%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5928 | 6.39 | |
| 0.1464 | 4.18 | |
| 0.3849 | 3.59 | |
| 0.3628 | 0.65 | |
| -1.6497 | -2.02 | |
| 2.3527 | 4.27 | |
| -1.9058 | -3.69 | |
| 1.4765 | 3.44 | |
| -1.5057 | -2.17 | |
| 2.1712 | 2.38 | |
| -2.5687 | -3.18 | |
| 2.8401 | 2.86 |
Estimation Period:
May 11, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
May 11, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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