Aubay Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:39.36% (-2.10%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1216 | 4.63 | |
| 0.1479 | 8.90 | |
| 0.7412 | 26.41 | |
| -0.1563 | -1.96 | |
| 0.0948 | 0.82 | |
| 0.2568 | 3.32 | |
| -0.3649 | -4.91 | |
| 0.2831 | 4.15 | |
| -0.1861 | -3.02 | |
| 0.1540 | 2.65 | |
| -0.1598 | -3.05 | |
| 0.1085 | 2.62 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 26, 1998 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 26, 1998 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
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