Aubay Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:45.89% (-4.54%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0972 | 4.56 | |
| 0.1462 | 9.01 | |
| 0.7421 | 26.70 | |
| -0.1639 | -2.05 | |
| 0.1030 | 0.89 | |
| 0.2603 | 3.37 | |
| -0.3768 | -5.09 | |
| 0.3018 | 4.44 | |
| -0.2125 | -3.47 | |
| 0.1964 | 3.38 | |
| -0.2410 | -4.28 | |
| 0.3042 | 3.45 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 26, 1998 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 26, 1998 to Feb 13, 2026
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