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V-Lab

Aubay Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:45.89% (-4.54%)
Analysis last updated: Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Aubay SGARCH
paramt-stat
ω1.09724.56
α0.14629.01
β0.742126.70
γ1-0.1639-2.05
γ20.10300.89
γ30.26033.37
γ4-0.3768-5.09
γ50.30184.44
γ6-0.2125-3.47
γ70.19643.38
γ8-0.2410-4.28
γ90.30423.45
Estimation Period:
Jun 26, 1998 to Feb 13, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts