Aurelia Metals Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:68.39% (+1.17%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7087 | 3.12 | |
| 0.0619 | 4.58 | |
| 0.8836 | 30.07 | |
| -0.5945 | -1.61 | |
| 0.8153 | 1.57 | |
| -0.3416 | -1.26 | |
| 0.5594 | 2.93 | |
| -1.2001 | -4.30 | |
| 1.3813 | 3.28 | |
| -0.9464 | -2.55 | |
| 0.5679 | 2.04 | |
| -0.4054 | -1.46 | |
| 0.2076 | 0.73 |
Estimation Period:
May 8, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
May 8, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
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