Aurelia Metals Limited Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:77.90% (+0.99%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6837 | 3.01 | |
| 0.0621 | 4.50 | |
| 0.8811 | 29.04 | |
| -0.6646 | -1.77 | |
| 0.9227 | 1.75 | |
| -0.4044 | -1.49 | |
| 0.6049 | 3.19 | |
| -1.2375 | -4.55 | |
| 1.4178 | 3.46 | |
| -0.9921 | -2.75 | |
| 0.6403 | 2.28 | |
| -0.5490 | -1.56 | |
| 0.5579 | 1.02 |
Estimation Period:
May 8, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
May 8, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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