A3 MERCADOS SA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:36.17% (+1.81%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2464 | 1.80 | |
| 0.1977 | 3.52 | |
| 0.6462 | 7.49 | |
| 13.6424 | 2.18 | |
| -24.0328 | -2.49 | |
| 23.7030 | 2.94 | |
| -30.6021 | -5.01 | |
| 36.4559 | 6.36 | |
| -34.8100 | -4.18 | |
| 24.7405 | 2.91 | |
| -15.1070 | -2.67 | |
| 9.0124 | 2.52 | |
| -3.2867 | -1.38 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 4, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 4, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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