A3 MERCADOS SA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:29.21% (-3.69%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2910 | 1.85 | |
| 0.2007 | 3.51 | |
| 0.6395 | 7.27 | |
| 14.2642 | 2.31 | |
| -25.0241 | -2.62 | |
| 24.4818 | 3.04 | |
| -31.5234 | -5.14 | |
| 37.5109 | 6.63 | |
| -35.8291 | -4.40 | |
| 25.7902 | 3.08 | |
| -16.7986 | -2.90 | |
| 12.5744 | 2.33 | |
| -11.2820 | -1.22 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 4, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 4, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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