Avation PLC Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:35.69% (+1.32%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9831 | 2.49 | |
| 0.1670 | 2.90 | |
| 0.5226 | 3.35 | |
| 6.7126 | 2.71 | |
| -9.2788 | -2.46 | |
| 2.4722 | 0.91 | |
| 0.7554 | 0.34 | |
| -0.1258 | -0.06 | |
| -1.3143 | -0.56 | |
| 0.9970 | 0.63 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 8, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 8, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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