Avation PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:35.38% (+1.34%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9863 | 2.49 | |
| 0.1669 | 2.90 | |
| 0.5215 | 3.34 | |
| 6.7344 | 2.72 | |
| -9.3091 | -2.47 | |
| 2.4834 | 0.91 | |
| 0.7540 | 0.34 | |
| -0.1365 | -0.06 | |
| -1.2737 | -0.48 | |
| 0.8743 | 0.21 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 8, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 8, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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