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V-Lab

Obara Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

36.60%

increased by 0.25%

1 Week

38.96%

increased by 2.61%

1 Month

43.28%

increased by 6.93%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Obara Group Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 23% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0235
15.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1593
17.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7052
65.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0360
2.33**

Persistence:

0.882

Half-life:

6 days