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V-Lab

Caswell Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

46.62%

decreased by 3.03%

1 Week

45.32%

decreased by 4.33%

1 Month

42.33%

decreased by 7.32%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caswell Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 25, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5882
15.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1308
12.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7560
73.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0295
1.53

Persistence:

0.902

Half-life:

7 days