Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Japan Petroleum Ex GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

29.85%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

30.67%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

32.78%

increased by 2.37%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Japan Petroleum Ex GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 10, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3247
5.22***
αARCH0.0841
4.12***
βGARCH0.8335
39.42***
γleverage0.0404
1.02

0.938

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3247
5.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0841
4.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8335
39.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0404
1.02

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days