V-Lab
Barinthus Biotherapeutics PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
4,768,833.00
increased by 1,292,821.00
1 Week
3,628,465.40
increased by 152,453.40
1 Month
3,118,009.95
decreased by 358,002.05
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 30, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 54 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5410 | 2.28** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1862 | 7.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8010 | 29.12*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1370 | -2.46** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Depositary Receipts