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Barinthus Biotherapeutics PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

4,768,833.00

increased by 1,292,821.00

1 Week

3,628,465.40

increased by 152,453.40

1 Month

3,118,009.95

decreased by 358,002.05

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Barinthus Biotherapeutics PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 30, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 54 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5410
2.28**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1862
7.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8010
29.12***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1370
-2.46**

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days