V-Lab
Barinthus Biotherapeutics PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
5,039,482.00
increased by 1,396,884.00
1 Week
3,801,123.20
increased by 158,525.20
1 Month
3,234,754.62
decreased by 407,843.38
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 30, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2015 | 38.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8073 | 172.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0475 | -8.18*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1,713,390.6448 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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