Skip to main content
V-Lab

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

60.44

increased by 3.30

1 Week

67.22

increased by 10.08

1 Month

107.49

increased by 50.35

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 23, 2001 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3260
0.04
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7462
25.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1443
-0.01
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.05
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5880
0.04
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0004
0.04

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days