Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

108.46

increased by 44.28

1 Month

68.33

increased by 4.15

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 23, 2001 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
2.31**
αARCH0.4236
1.58
βGARCH0.6490
4.50***
γleverage-0.1452
-0.92

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.31**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4236
1.58
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6490
4.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1452
-0.92

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-