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V-Lab

State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

55.82%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Week

52.60%

decreased by 3.75%

1 Month

43.56%

decreased by 12.79%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 49% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.27 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0904
24.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1863
49.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7891
201.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1568
17.24***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2710
27.69***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days