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V-Lab

State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

55.30%

decreased by 1.33%

1 Week

54.12%

decreased by 2.51%

1 Month

50.10%

decreased by 6.53%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 60% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1265
27.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1415
25.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7841
212.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0843
8.97***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days