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V-Lab

State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

56.19%

decreased by 2.66%

1 Week

55.14%

decreased by 3.71%

1 Month

51.52%

decreased by 7.33%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1272
8.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1982
34.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7727
203.60***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days