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V-Lab

Wawel Sa AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

19.93%

increased by 0.34%

1 Week

23.14%

increased by 3.55%

1 Month

29.19%

increased by 9.60%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wawel Sa AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 30, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4435
30.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2375
44.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6715
108.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0035
-0.10

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days