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V-Lab

Wawel Sa EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

20.48%

increased by 0.91%

1 Week

22.91%

increased by 3.34%

1 Month

28.77%

increased by 9.20%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wawel Sa EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 30, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1792
23.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3539
44.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8843
168.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0003
0.04

Persistence:

0.884

Half-life:

6 days