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V-Lab
V-Lab

iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Monday, August 17th, 2026):

1 Day

44.63%

1 Week

50.08%

1 Month

60.93%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -1.64) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: positive returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3685
5.40***
αARCH0.1648
7.28***
βGARCH0.7474
29.38***
γleverage-1.6417
-4.52***

0.912

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3685
5.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1648
7.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7474
29.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.6417
-4.52***

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days