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V-Lab

iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

49.00%

decreased by 1.04%

1 Week

51.27%

increased by 1.23%

1 Month

58.20%

increased by 8.16%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 11:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of iTraxx/CBOE Europe Main 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 164% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1845
17.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2307
26.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9391
278.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1038
13.19***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days