Ugar Sugar Works Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:28.46% (-1.01%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6533 | 5.70 | |
| 0.1536 | 6.13 | |
| 0.6897 | 15.59 | |
| 0.1129 | 1.52 | |
| -0.0827 | -0.75 | |
| -0.0657 | -0.89 | |
| 0.0822 | 1.28 | |
| -0.1419 | -2.24 | |
| 0.1538 | 3.30 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 29, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
Sep 29, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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