Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.0044	9.85***
αARCH	0.1214	10.27***
βGARCH	0.8446	68.40***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.0044	9.85***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1214	10.27***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8446	68.40***

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Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Stock Price Index TOPIX Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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