TPS Eastern Africa Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:84.79% (+28.43%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5064 | 5.30 | |
| 0.1926 | 9.03 | |
| 0.5865 | 12.03 | |
| 0.3143 | 3.78 | |
| -0.4445 | -2.86 | |
| 0.1852 | 1.48 | |
| -0.1021 | -1.25 | |
| 0.1261 | 2.13 | |
| -0.1252 | -2.58 | |
| 0.0500 | 1.23 | |
| -0.0115 | -0.40 |
Estimation Period:
May 12, 1997 to Feb 13, 2026
May 12, 1997 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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