Tilly's Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:68.15% (-1.84%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0040 | 4.97 | |
| 0.3094 | 3.90 | |
| 0.5284 | 5.85 | |
| 0.4000 | 1.23 | |
| -0.5973 | -1.19 | |
| 0.2163 | 0.57 | |
| 0.0372 | 0.10 | |
| -0.1374 | -0.30 | |
| -0.0787 | -0.18 | |
| 0.6700 | 2.45 | |
| -0.8289 | -5.69 |
Estimation Period:
May 4, 2012 to Feb 13, 2026
May 4, 2012 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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