S&P GSCI All Cattle Spot Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
16.46%
increased by 0.11%
1 Week
16.46%
increased by 0.11%
1 Month
16.47%
increased by 0.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2002 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 252% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0012 | 1.03 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0878 | 30.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9852 | 1,342.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0489 | -21.01*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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