Simtel Team SA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:13.96% (+1.30%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0601 | 2.74 | |
| 0.2053 | 2.23 | |
| 0.0900 | 0.50 | |
| 2.3503 | 0.52 | |
| -7.5913 | -1.24 | |
| 8.7805 | 3.52 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 27, 2024 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 27, 2024 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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