V-Lab
Ross Stores Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
32.23%
decreased by 1.00%
1 Week
32.37%
decreased by 0.86%
1 Month
32.53%
decreased by 0.70%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0088 | 4.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8648 | 111.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1076 | 18.39*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0277 | 2.26** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0416 | 2.91*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9534 | 60.67*** |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
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