Paragon Finance Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:117.81% (-13.61%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1863 | 4.36 | |
| 0.1596 | 5.52 | |
| 0.7441 | 12.70 | |
| 1.4692 | 3.12 | |
| -2.0137 | -2.70 | |
| 0.9156 | 1.96 | |
| -0.8500 | -2.68 | |
| 1.0078 | 3.95 | |
| -1.0499 | -4.39 | |
| 0.8621 | 3.54 | |
| -0.4655 | -2.36 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 15, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 15, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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