Perfect Octave Media Project Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:58.88% (+6.55%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9888 | 2.38 | |
| 0.2261 | 7.81 | |
| 0.6987 | 16.85 | |
| 0.3010 | 0.38 | |
| -0.4650 | -0.40 | |
| 0.0837 | 0.11 | |
| 0.1944 | 0.27 | |
| -0.7659 | -1.12 | |
| 2.0127 | 3.66 | |
| -2.2270 | -4.15 | |
| 0.9372 | 1.55 | |
| -0.0021 | -0.00 | |
| -0.0897 | -0.29 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 3, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 3, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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