Optimal Blue 15-Year Fixed Rate Conforming Mortgage Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:18.09% (+1.21%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0352 | 14.45 | |
| 0.1126 | 15.43 | |
| 0.8689 | 219.14 | |
| 0.0145 | 1.12 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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