Optimal Blue 15-Year Fixed Rate Conforming Mortgage Index APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:15.83% (+1.02%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0348 | 14.09 | |
| 0.1198 | 25.27 | |
| 0.8701 | 208.85 | |
| 0.0307 | 1.94 | |
| 1.9687 | 22.85 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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