Optimal Blue 15-Year Fixed Rate Conforming Mortgage Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:15.73% (+0.91%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0359 | 15.16 | |
| 0.1196 | 27.37 | |
| 0.8687 | 215.98 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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