Nel Asa Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:54.42% (-0.45%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8420 | 3.33 | |
| 0.3002 | 4.72 | |
| 0.4065 | 6.62 | |
| 0.3783 | 1.98 | |
| -0.6433 | -2.45 | |
| 0.4108 | 2.31 | |
| -0.3528 | -1.68 | |
| 0.2605 | 1.26 | |
| 0.1295 | 0.82 | |
| -0.3545 | -2.95 | |
| 0.2497 | 2.26 | |
| -0.0976 | -1.08 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 18, 2006 to Feb 6, 2026
Apr 18, 2006 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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