Modern Times Group MTG AB Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:29.13% (-0.82%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7168 | 5.93 | |
| 0.1151 | 5.21 | |
| 0.6692 | 12.29 | |
| -0.0652 | -1.00 | |
| -0.0541 | -0.59 | |
| 0.2605 | 4.34 | |
| -0.1889 | -2.30 | |
| 0.0094 | 0.09 | |
| 0.0805 | 0.92 | |
| 0.0088 | 0.14 | |
| -0.1550 | -2.50 | |
| 0.1513 | 3.20 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 18, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
Sep 18, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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