Malvern International PLC Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:39.65% (+2.13%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9515 | 3.52 | |
| 0.1740 | 3.60 | |
| 0.1935 | 1.46 | |
| 0.1136 | 0.14 | |
| 0.7868 | 0.60 | |
| -2.7829 | -2.56 | |
| 4.1725 | 4.66 | |
| -5.7782 | -7.86 | |
| 6.8878 | 8.28 | |
| -5.5731 | -6.19 | |
| 3.5147 | 3.56 | |
| -1.6858 | -1.82 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 30, 2007 to Jan 30, 2026
Apr 30, 2007 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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