Misr Fertilizers Production Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 8th, 2026:21.29% (-0.82%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0132 | 5.59 | |
| 0.1007 | 3.74 | |
| 0.7431 | 13.05 | |
| -0.4364 | -1.74 | |
| 1.0109 | 2.55 | |
| -0.9510 | -2.97 | |
| 0.3783 | 1.14 | |
| 0.6318 | 1.69 | |
| -1.7498 | -4.25 | |
| 1.6971 | 5.01 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 20, 2016 to Feb 5, 2026
Sep 20, 2016 to Feb 5, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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