Mangold Ab Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:33.33% (-2.43%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7645 | 4.12 | |
| 0.2304 | 4.47 | |
| 0.3838 | 4.42 | |
| 0.6732 | 0.87 | |
| -1.1091 | -0.90 | |
| 0.8046 | 1.06 | |
| -0.8413 | -1.64 | |
| 1.0623 | 2.81 | |
| -1.0515 | -3.78 | |
| 0.5444 | 1.87 | |
| -0.1641 | -0.40 | |
| 0.1970 | 0.53 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 17, 2013 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 17, 2013 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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