Bloomberg Short Treasury Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:0.35% (+0.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1777 | 2.79 | |
| 0.1575 | 2.35 | |
| 0.6469 | 7.05 | |
| -0.5824 | -0.36 | |
| 1.1985 | 0.56 | |
| 2.7045 | 2.57 | |
| -5.6476 | -4.19 | |
| 2.4780 | 1.75 | |
| -0.8332 | -0.81 | |
| 0.9891 | 1.68 |
Estimation Period:
May 17, 2019 to Apr 4, 2025
May 17, 2019 to Apr 4, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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