Light SA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:55.96% (-2.23%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0384 | 5.42 | |
| 0.1076 | 7.56 | |
| 0.8029 | 33.19 | |
| 0.0749 | 1.61 | |
| 0.0084 | 0.12 | |
| -0.1290 | -2.76 | |
| 0.0285 | 0.77 | |
| 0.0153 | 0.39 | |
| 0.0865 | 1.92 | |
| -0.1792 | -3.41 | |
| 0.1637 | 3.54 | |
| -0.1011 | -3.76 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 20, 1991 to Jan 30, 2026
Dec 20, 1991 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
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