Imperial Oil Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:36.98% (+1.50%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6729 | 5.92 | |
| 0.0655 | 7.28 | |
| 0.9088 | 77.95 | |
| -0.0069 | -0.15 | |
| 0.0647 | 0.95 | |
| -0.1601 | -3.37 | |
| 0.2028 | 4.67 | |
| -0.1927 | -4.89 | |
| 0.1385 | 3.35 | |
| -0.0162 | -0.33 | |
| -0.0667 | -1.25 | |
| 0.0405 | 1.09 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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